Iceland, two weeks ahead
- Turning colder from Wednesday: daytime highs fall from about 6 °C to 4 °C in the lowlands.
- Wettest: Southeast (about 127 mm over the fortnight). Driest: West & Snæfellsnes (48 mm).
- Snow likely to settle from Wednesday: Mývatn & Northeast.
- Windiest today: gusts around 25 m/s (Southeast).
Today, 19 Oct
FirmRegion by region
The daytime high and the night's low, rain or snow and the strongest gusts — read at the town each region's visitors stay in.
| Region by region | Today 19. | Tue 20. | Wed 21. | Thu 22. | Fri 23. | Sat 24. | Sun 25. | Mon 26. | Tue 27. | Wed 28. | Thu 29. | Fri 30. | Sat 31. | Sun 1. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reykjavík area 20 m | 7° 3° 9 mm | 5° 0° 3 mm | 3° -1° 2 mm | 3° -1° 3 mm | 3° -1° 2 mm | 2° -1° 3 mm | 3° 0° 5 mm | 3° 0° 3 mm | 4° 0° 2 mm | 4° 0° 3 mm | 3° 0° 5 mm | 4° 0° 5 mm | 4° 1° 5 mm | 3° 1° 6 mm |
| Golden Circle 15 m | 9° 6° 10 mm | 7° 2° 5 mm | 5° 1° 2 mm | 4° 1° 5 mm | 4° 0° 3 mm | 4° 1° 3 mm | 5° 2° 5 mm | 5° 2° 3 mm | 6° 2° 3 mm | 5° 2° 4 mm | 5° 2° 6 mm | 5° 3° 5 mm | 6° 3° 7 mm | 5° 3° 7 mm |
| South coast 20 m | 9° 6° 19 mm | 6° 2° 3 mm | 4° 2° 3 mm | 4° 2° 6 mm | 4° 1° 3 mm | 4° 2° 8 mm | 5° 3° 9 mm | 5° 3° 8 mm | 5° 3° 7 mm | 5° 3° 7 mm | 5° 3° 13 mm | 5° 3° 11 mm | 5° 3° 15 mm | 5° 3° 13 mm |
| Southeast 5 m | 9° 7° 19 mm | 9° 6° 17 mm | 7° 5° 7 mm | 6° 4° 6 mm | 5° 3° 5 mm | 6° 3° 10 mm | 6° 4° 7 mm | 6° 4° 5 mm | 6° 4° 5 mm | 6° 4° 4 mm | 6° 4° 10 mm | 6° 4° 9 mm | 6° 4° 11 mm | 6° 4° 12 mm |
| East Fjords 40 m | 8° 4° 5 mm | 7° 4° 13 mm | 4° 2° 11 mm | 3° 0° 4 mm | 1° -1° 1 cm | 2° -1° 2 cm | 3° 1° 13 mm | 2° 0° 8 mm | 2° 0° 6 mm | 2° 0° 5 mm | 2° -1° 7 mm | 2° 0° 8 mm | 2° 0° 6 mm | 2° 0° 8 mm |
| Mývatn & Northeast 280 m | 6° 3° 2 mm | 4° 0° 6 mm | 1° -1° 3 cm | 0° -2° 2 cm | -1° -4° 1 cm | 0° -4° 3 cm | 1° -2° 3 cm | 1° -1° 3 cm | 1° -2° 2 cm | 0° -2° 2 cm | 0° -2° 2 cm | 1° -2° 2 cm | 0° -2° 1 cm | 1° -2° 1 cm |
| Akureyri & North 20 m | 9° 6° 3 mm | 7° 3° 4 mm | 4° 1° 5 mm | 4° 1° 3 mm | 3° -1° 2 mm | 3° -1° 2 cm | 5° 1° 8 mm | 4° 2° 8 mm | 4° 2° 6 mm | 4° 1° 4 mm | 4° 1° 5 mm | 4° 2° 5 mm | 4° 1° 4 mm | 4° 1° 5 mm |
| Westfjords 10 m | 5° 2° 6 mm | 3° 0° 1 mm | 2° -2° 2 mm | 1° 0° 2 cm | 1° -1° 2 cm | 2° -1° 2 cm | 2° 0° 10 mm | 2° 0° 1 cm | 2° 1° 6 mm | 2° 0° 4 mm | 2° 0° 4 mm | 2° 0° 7 mm | 2° 0° 5 mm | 2° 0° 7 mm |
| West & Snæfellsnes 15 m | 7° 4° 8 mm | 5° 3° 4 mm | 4° 1° 1 mm | 4° 2° 3 mm | 3° 2° 2 mm | 4° 1° 2 mm | 4° 3° 3 mm | 4° 3° 3 mm | 5° 3° 2 mm | 4° 3° 3 mm | 4° 3° 3 mm | 4° 2° 5 mm | 4° 3° 4 mm | 4° 3° 5 mm |
| Highlands 641 m | 3° 0° 1 cm | 0° -4° 1 cm | -2° -6° 1 cm | -1° -4° 2 cm | -3° -5° 1 mm | -2° -5° 2 cm | -1° -4° 2 cm | -1° -3° 2 cm | -1° -3° 1 cm | -1° -3° 1 cm | -1° -4° 2 cm | -1° -3° 2 cm | -1° -3° 2 cm | -1° -3° 2 cm |
The weeks and months after
Beyond two weeks, forecasts can only say warmer or colder, wetter or drier than usual — so that's all we say.
| Region by region | Week of 2 Nov | Week of 9 Nov | Week of 16 Nov | Week of 23 Nov | November | December | January |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reykjavík area | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | +0.1° Usual About usual | −0.6° Drier A little colder than usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.4° Usual About usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual |
| Golden Circle | +0.7° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.4° Usual About usual | −0.4° Drier About usual | +0.7° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | +0.4° Usual About usual |
| South coast | +0.3° Usual About usual | +0.1° Usual About usual | +0.1° Usual About usual | −0.4° Usual About usual | +0.6° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.2° Usual About usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual |
| Southeast | +0.8° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.6° Wetter A little warmer than usual | +0.4° Usual About usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | +0.6° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.2° Usual About usual | +0.4° Usual About usual |
| East Fjords | +0.7° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.7° Wetter A little warmer than usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.4° Wetter About usual | +0.7° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | +0.4° Usual About usual |
| Mývatn & Northeast | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.4° Usual About usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | +0.2° Usual About usual | +0.8° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual |
| Akureyri & North | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | +0.1° Usual About usual | +0.8° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.6° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.6° Usual A little warmer than usual |
| Westfjords | +0.4° Usual About usual | +0.2° Usual About usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | −0.3° Usual About usual | +0.6° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.4° Usual About usual |
| West & Snæfellsnes | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.2° Usual About usual | +0.2° Usual About usual | −0.3° Drier About usual | +0.6° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual |
| Highlands | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | +0.3° Usual About usual | −0.2° Usual About usual | +0.6° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.5° Usual A little warmer than usual | +0.7° Usual A little warmer than usual |
Questions visitors ask
What will the weather be like in Iceland over the next two weeks?
Turning colder from Wednesday: daytime highs fall from about 6 °C to 4 °C in the lowlands. Wettest: Southeast (about 127 mm over the fortnight). Driest: West & Snæfellsnes (48 mm). Snow likely to settle from Wednesday: Mývatn & Northeast. Windiest today: gusts around 25 m/s (Southeast).
Will it snow in Iceland in the next two weeks?
Snow is likely to settle in the lowlands on Wednesday 21 Oct (Mývatn & Northeast); Thursday 22 Oct (Mývatn & Northeast, Westfjords); Friday 23 Oct (East Fjords, Mývatn & Northeast). Mountain roads and the highlands are more likely to see snow.
How accurate is a 14-day weather forecast for Iceland?
The first three days are firm, the rest of the week a good guide, and the second week shows the trend rather than the details. We map the mean of ECMWF's 51-member ensemble, so no single run's storm decides the picture — and beyond two weeks we only say warmer or colder, wetter or drier than usual.
What will November be like in Iceland?
The seasonal forecast leans: a little warmer than usual, about the usual rain and snow across Iceland. Seasonal forecasts can only say which way the month leans, not what any day will bring.
Data: ECMWF (ensemble mean; EC46 extended range and SEAS5 seasonal) via Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Terrain: Terrarium (AWS Terrain Tiles).